A crustal thermal model of the conterminous U.S. constrained by multiple data sets: A Monte-Carlo approach

Geophysical Journal International
By: , and 

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Abstract

The thermal structure of the continental crust plays a critical role in understanding its elastic and rheologic properties as well as its dynamic processes. Thermal parameter data sets on continental scales have been used to constrain the crustal thermal structure, including both the direct (e.g. temperature, heat flux and heat conductivity measured at the surface) and indirect (e.g. seismically derived Mohorovičić discontinuity (Moho) temperature, geomagnetically derived Curie depth) observations. In this study, we present a new continental scale crustal heat generation model with additional information from seismologically inferred crustal composition. Together with previous direct and indirect thermal parameter data sets in the conterminous United States, we use the new crustal heat generation model to construct a 3-D crustal temperature model under a newly developed Bayesian framework. Specifically, we first derive profiles of crustal heat generation based on an empirical geochemical relationship at 1683 locations where seismologically derived crustal composition information is available. Then for each of these locations, the average heat generation values in the upper, middle and lower crust are combined with other thermal parameters through a Markov Chain Monte-Carlo inversion for a conductive, vertically smooth temperature profile. The results, posterior distributions of temperature profiles, are used to generate a 3-D crustal thermal model with the uncertainties systematically assessed. The new temperature model overall exhibits similar patterns to that from the U.S. Geological Survey National Crustal Model, but also reduces possible biases and the model's dependence on a single thermal parameter.

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Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title A crustal thermal model of the conterminous U.S. constrained by multiple data sets: A Monte-Carlo approach
Series title Geophysical Journal International
DOI 10.1093/gji/ggaf118
Volume 241
Issue 3
Publication Date March 28, 2025
Year Published 2025
Language English
Publisher Oxford University Press
Contributing office(s) Geologic Hazards Science Center - Seismology / Geomagnetism
Description 14 p.
First page 1711
Last page 1724
Country United States
Other Geospatial conterminous United States
Additional publication details