Reconstructing relative abundance indices for Atlantic sturgeon using hierarchical ecological models

Transactions of the American Fisheries Society
By: , and 

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Abstract

Objective

The Atlantic Sturgeon Acipenser oxyrinchus is a wide-ranging, long-lived diadromous fish that is endangered in most of its range. Our objective was to develop and apply long-term, detection-corrected indices of relative abundance for juvenile and adult Atlantic Sturgeon in the Hudson River, New York, United States, to support population monitoring and stock assessment.

Methods

We used long-term gill-net catches to estimate relative abundances of juvenile and adult Atlantic Sturgeon while accounting for imperfect detection within an N-mixture modeling framework. We validated the model framework using a simulation–estimation framework based on mean parameter estimates from the adult Atlantic Sturgeon relative abundance index.

Results

Simulation testing indicated that absolute abundance estimates may be biased low due to poor characterization of detection probabilities. However, model estimates of relative abundance tracked simulated abundance trends well. Juvenile relative abundance estimates followed similar trends as raw gill-net catches but were less variable among years when corrected for detection probability. Relative abundance of juveniles increased from 2004 to 2015 prior to declining through 2022, with little evidence for change between the start and end of the survey. Detection-corrected indices for adult sturgeon indicated a consistent increase in relative abundance that was not readily apparent in raw catch indices.

Conclusions

Detection-corrected catch indices can provide improved characterization of Atlantic Sturgeon relative abundance dynamics over raw gill-net catches through use of N-mixture models. The approach has broad applicability to data types that are commonly collected for understanding population trends in stock assessment. Estimation of absolute abundance and other population demographics germane to management would benefit from alternative or auxiliary data collected through approaches such as side-scan sonar or acoustic telemetry, which are increasingly common for monitoring sturgeon populations.

Study Area

Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title Reconstructing relative abundance indices for Atlantic sturgeon using hierarchical ecological models
Series title Transactions of the American Fisheries Society
DOI 10.1093/tafafs/vnae005
Edition Online First
Publication Date March 27, 2025
Year Published 2025
Language English
Publisher Oxford Academic
Contributing office(s) Eastern Ecological Science Center
Country United States
State New York
Other Geospatial Hudson River
Additional publication details